Westmonster: Ministry for the Margin of Error

Ministry for the Margin of Error

Dave ahead in the North?

The latest Independent/ComRes poll has the Tories comfortably ahead of Labour, at 41% versus 30%. The papers are drooling over one particular aspect of the poll: it puts Dave ahead of El Gordo in the North. By one measly point, but they're taking it as significant (and also arguing that… read more…
Share this: del.icio.us  digg  Facebook  Newsvine  reddit
Ministry for the Margin of Error

Hillary's glass ceiling

Today's Rasmussen Reports US Presidential Tracking Poll contains a nugget of information that shows why Hillary Clinton might very well be screwed, even if she somehow amazingly comes back to defeat Obama for the nomination: "Nationwide, Obama is viewed favorably by 55% and unfavorably by 42%. McCain’s numbers 51% favorable,… read more…
Share this: del.icio.us  digg  Facebook  Newsvine  reddit
Ministry for the Margin of Error

Caucuses, Primaries, Media & Money

Westmonster's as confounded as anybody else by the dissonance between last night's Clinton victory and the pre-election polls showing Obama with a double-digit lead. Was it the tears? Was it the piling on? Was it the women? Was it cocky Obama supporters not turning out to vote? We may never… read more…
Share this: del.icio.us  digg  Facebook  Newsvine  reddit
Ministry for the Margin of Error

Statistical tailspin

Some good news for the Gord! Air rage is down! According to this release on the Government News Network: The figures for the year 2006-07 show that * the total number of reported incidents of disruptive passenger behaviour rose from 1359 to 2219, of which 2161 were classified as significant… read more…
Share this: del.icio.us  digg  Facebook  Newsvine  reddit
Ministry for the Margin of Error

Brown blinks first

Well, that's that then. Westmonster has duly cancelled her return ticket to Worksop. Gordon forgot the first rule of bandwagons: if you're going to start one rolling you better be damn sure that you can control the bugger if it looks like it's going to run away with itself.… read more…
Share this: del.icio.us  digg  Facebook  Newsvine  reddit
Ministry for the Margin of Error

He will, or won't, by Sunday

Allow Westmonster to set the scene. Polls are showing a big bounce. Newly smoke-free and sterile bunkers are crowding with "key decision makers." Commentators are out of breath. The Papers are out of breath. And this morning Today is leading on Dave mocking Gord over the suggestion that he'll wimp… read more…
Share this: del.icio.us  digg  Facebook  Newsvine  reddit